HMM-driven trading botsv7c · multi-account

Trade the regimes,
not the noise.

Hidden Markov models classify the market into volatility regimes — calm, choppy, panic — and switch strategies on each transition. Paper or live, Alpaca or IBKR. Self-host free or let us run your fleet 24/7.

Tools for traders, not financial advice. See the risk disclaimer.

HMM Trade Pro · paper
live · 1m bars · last 120 ticks
+7.71%
session
regimelow_vol
leverage1.5×
exposure62%
67
indexed terms
4
vol regimes
24/7
crypto coverage
KMS
encrypted tokens

How a tick becomes a trade

Each bar (1 minute by default) flows through the same five-step pipeline. Risk gates fire on every order, not just at boot.

01

Features → HMM

Realized vol, ATR, ADX, RSI feed a trained HMM. The forward algorithm returns the active regime + confidence on every tick.

02

Strategy routing

Each regime maps to a sized strategy. Calm → trend with leverage; chop → flat; panic → defensive shorts (where allowed).

03

Risk + execution

Every order passes max-position, leverage, daily DD, and trade-count gates. Audit log records the rejection reason inline.

Why

Built for traders who read the source.

Every line of strategy code is open. Risk caps are absolute and per-bot. The HMM is just an HMM — no large model is in the loop deciding for you.

🧠

Hidden Markov regime model

BIC-selected number of states, weekly retrains with validation gates, forward-algorithm inference (no look-ahead).

🔒

KMS-encrypted broker tokens

Per-payload AES-256 data keys wrapped in Cloud KMS. DB compromise alone doesn't leak tokens.

📡

TradingView webhook routing

Pine v5 generator + per-bot URL routing. Drive bots from your existing alert library.

🪙

Stocks, crypto, options

Alpaca-routed equity + crypto on every tier. Options + futures + forex on the IBKR path (hosted IBKR is roadmap).

🎚️

Per-bot risk envelopes

max_single_position, max_leverage, daily_dd_halt — sibling bots are siloed. One bot's blow-up never touches another.

📓

Audit log of every decision

Every signal, gate, fill, halt — recorded. Click any rejection on the bot page to see the exact cap that fired.

What we don't claim
  • No guaranteed returns. The HMM helps you trade less in bad regimes; it doesn't predict price direction.
  • No proprietary alpha signal. The strategies are public textbook plays — vol-targeting, mean reversion, trend following — sized correctly.
  • No LLM in the trading loop. The decision pipeline is scikit-learn + numpy; the model boundary is sharp and inspectable.

Pricing that scales with your fleet

Free is genuinely free, forever. Pro is hosted compute. Live unlocks real money.

Free

30-day trial — one hosted paper bot, no card needed.

$0/mo
  • 1 hosted paper bot
  • 1 tick/hour — see regime changes hourly
  • Stock + crypto strategies
  • 7-day audit retention
  • Auto-suspends after 7 days idle
  • Bot deleted after 30 days unless you upgrade
Recommended

Pro

Faster signals, more bots, real alerts.

$29/mo
  • 5 hosted paper bots — always on, never idle-suspended
  • 1 tick/minute — 60× faster than free
  • Options, futures, forex, crypto
  • Email + webhook + Discord alerts
  • 90-day audit retention
  • TradingView webhook routing

Live

Live trading enabled, unlimited bots, IBKR support.

$79/mo
  • Unlimited hosted bots
  • Live brokerage trading
  • IBKR + Alpaca
  • 365-day audit retention
  • Priority support

Boot your first paper bot in 3 minutes.

Sign up, connect Alpaca paper, walk the wizard, watch the live tail. Free forever, no card required.